Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 3060.277102 3304.841293 3552.501073 3821.749579 4105.885173 4396.493382 4715.856561
2024-12-22 2629.222708 2990.215347 3369.447608 3796.297773 4262.107740 4753.771889 5310.699937
2024-12-29 2417.941901 2855.746423 3328.007328 3872.753639 4481.174854 5137.247067 5895.576729
2025-01-05 2226.640396 2716.866487 3257.773953 3894.696527 4619.875232 5415.630402 6350.527041
2025-01-12 2059.944995 2588.692058 3184.078033 3898.065900 4724.766958 5645.722046 6742.889620
2025-01-19 1852.922074 2398.201812 3024.706977 3789.565955 4689.689670 5707.032739 6935.145025
2025-01-26 1797.327131 2381.236730 3062.854881 3906.653569 4912.189974 6061.267889 7462.336125
2025-02-02 1727.400627 2341.136849 3068.634016 3981.286376 5081.857486 6352.637244 7916.619777
2025-02-09 1626.706537 2256.783989 3015.450903 3980.117809 5157.360795 6530.781761 8236.772322
2025-02-16 1522.504591 2162.079265 2944.255402 3952.072933 5196.339278 6662.521315 8499.965838
2025-02-23 1460.621229 2117.629069 2932.239166 3994.079736 5318.323185 6892.236597 8879.745425
2025-03-02 1382.434386 2047.863100 2884.700087 3988.528075 5379.302437 7046.715277 9168.424284
2025-03-09 1338.092312 2021.768358 2892.774256 4054.092167 5530.846861 7315.155240 9601.078440
2025-03-16 1257.588781 1943.581883 2830.517833 4027.493805 5565.367257 7439.651211 9858.950047
2025-03-23 1226.489831 1930.624611 2851.914447 4107.376666 5733.672263 7729.308152 10320.513635
2025-03-30 1175.293960 1887.291335 2830.928497 4130.299844 5828.248878 7926.958695 10669.050756
2025-04-06 1120.213013 1835.828323 2796.728651 4133.819615 5896.407595 8090.776809 10975.628293
2025-04-13 1026.198513 1724.568448 2677.469494 4020.459391 5809.628517 8056.458147 11032.170395
2025-04-20 1021.166533 1741.624806 2733.911545 4142.790457 6031.192986 8414.428974 11584.121052
2025-04-27 1001.292250 1735.768658 2757.825262 4220.744146 6194.593759 8699.082269 12045.219591
2025-05-04 956.207352 1690.406560 2724.740359 4219.523707 6252.205476 8847.701258 12333.973384
2025-05-11 904.712135 1633.069555 2672.640750 4190.232759 6270.856506 8945.079194 12556.977257
2025-05-18 878.846610 1613.731870 2673.835728 4234.105130 6387.358987 9169.548687 12943.874440